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VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ?

 
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VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 1:26:24 PM   
SODAPOPBOB

 

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It is my opinion that values of soda bottles is a significant aspect to collecting. For example; Who wouldn't get excited and purchase a Mountain Dew party jug if they found one for sale with a price tag on it for $50.00? I would! Especially because I know they typically sell on e-bay and elsewhere for $1000.00 or more! And yet my acl book doesn't list a single Moutain Dew bottle whatsoever. And the guide I have is considered to be the best of the best. It has been said many times, and I agree, that the value of something (soda bottles and/or just about anything) is for the most part based on whatever the market will bare or what some collector is willing to pay for it. I also know that guides are just that ... "guides" ... meaning a general guideline with "ball-park" values. So where does that leave us when attempting to determine the "true value" of a particular bottle in our collections? For me the answer lies, for the most part, on first hand experience. Take for example the Big Chief acl shown below. This is from my personal collection and is from the small town of Ely, Nevada. (By the way; it is in near mint condition, and dated 1956). I have seen this same exact bottle (town and date) sell on e-bay numerous times anywhere from $35.00 to $135.00. So what is it's true value? My acl guidebook list one from Placerville, California (1951) that sold sometime between 1995/97 for $80.00. So then is this the true value?  And does it truly make a difference which small town it's from? You bet it does!

So let's take a closer look at one that is currently on e-bay. It is the same bottle, but from Taft, California. Which is small town of approximately 6000 residents. (Ely, Nevada has currenty has about 4000 residents). The e-bay Taft bottle currently has 12 bids, with $39.00 as the current high bid. It closes today at appx. 4:PM Pacific time. Here's the link to check it out and watch for yourselves.

http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dllViewItem&item=280559432340&ssPageName=STRK:MEWAX:IT 

Note: I accidently hit the wrong key, so I will continue this on the next page. Please stand by. Thanks.    

< Message edited by SODAPOPBOB -- 9/12/2010 1:29:03 PM >
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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 1:36:03 PM   
SODAPOPBOB

 

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Sorry about that. Something happened to cause it to post before I was ready. But that's okay, because I'm almost done here anyway.

So my point is this ... How do we determine the true value of a particular soda pop bottle if e-bay prices and personal opinions are scattered across the board like so much dust in the wind? And why even have price "guides" if they are outdated the minute you buy them? And what about "Dealer" pricing? I bought my Big Chief in an antique shop for $15.00 

Bottom line?  What is my Ely, Nevada Big Chief bottle really worth?

SODAPOPBOB 




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< Message edited by SODAPOPBOB -- 9/12/2010 1:39:07 PM >

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 1:47:46 PM   
SODAPOPBOB

 

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The e-bay link I posted doesn't work so I will try it again. I knew something was wrong when it automatically posted. My apologies again. I tested this one and it works. But personally I see no difference between the two links. ???

http://cgi.ebay.com/ws/eBayISAPI.dll?ViewItem&item=250693868478&ssPageName=STRK:MEWAX:IT

< Message edited by SODAPOPBOB -- 9/12/2010 1:50:21 PM >

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 2:07:30 PM   
SODAPOPBOB

 

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Final thoughts / questions ...

Let's say I wanted to trade or sell my Big Chief bottle to a A-B.net member. How would we ever agree on a value? Is it worth $35.00 or $135.00 ???

Thanks,

SPBOB

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 2:52:16 PM   
SODAPOPBOB

 

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I got to thinking, and just so there is no misunderstanding, I wish to point out that my Big Chief bottle is not the subject of a trade or sell with any A-B.net member. Nor is it currently for sale on e-bay or elsewhere. It is one of my personal favorites and I have no intention of selling/trading it anytime in the foreseeable future.

So if you have comments to post, please feel free to do so as it will have absouletely no influence on anything going on at present. I simply use it as an example of a bottle in my collection that I have been trying to determine the true value of for quite some time now.

Thanks again,

SPBOB    

< Message edited by SODAPOPBOB -- 9/12/2010 2:53:25 PM >

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 3:13:22 PM   
morbious_fod

 

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That's the age old question, and has no answer due to it's vagueness and reliance upon the whims of both the seller and the buyer. The seller could decide that the price he's asking is "what it books for and thus what its worth" regardless the economic times, actual availability (someone could have just found twenty of the exact same bottle and has started selling them), perceived availability (the seller himself has only seen one themselves and thinks its uber rare thus worth a mint). Then there is presumed rarity which I deal with a lot mainly due to the fact that my area has very few outlets for bottles to show up in and when they do the sellers decide they are worth a bunch of money, and since the buyers usually haven't seen them that often as well and are willing to pay the premium. All the while one person could have a crate of them in their basement and have no idea how to offer them to the collecting world, or even realize that the bottles are worth anything.

Then there is the "It's a small town so naturally they are rare." perception that you noted. A couple of examples in my area may help with this one. The small town of Tazewell, VA had the Sun Rise Bottling Company located there, technically it is North Tazewell, VA but the towns combined three years after the company closed. People in this area automatically assume that any bottle from this town is Uber-Rare, and will charge higher prices for them, never mind that the bottling plant existed for well over fifty years and had a large distribution area which included a lot of the area where there are almost know outlets for these bottles save word of mouth, and maybe a small flea market. No antique malls, one junk shop, and very little else. There are collectors of the company in the area; however, even with my four years of research I've only scared up one, who I need to try to meet sometime. My point is that while there are high priced bottles from this company namely the Tazewell Orange, with is one of the highest desired ones and usually runs around $100 in mint shape, and the Rooster Sun Rise bottles, there are some that I once thought were rare only to find out that they are more common than some of the national brands, and these are the Rhythm Punch bottles. The company closed down in 1960 and had ordered several grosses of these bottles dated 1960. These ended up on the market and in the area where they don't show up as much they can sell for upwards of $15, but go to Sevierville or the local bottle shows and you can expect to pick one up for $5.

Another good example is the Nesbitt-Double Cola Bottling Company of Falls Mills, VA. Falls Mills, VA is the poster child of a "hole in the road town" there really isn't a town as such, but more a small community which grew up around a flour mill. The bottling company moved from nearby Pocahontas, Va to Falls Mills, VA in the late 1940's. If Falls Mills has a thousand people living there I'd be shocked. The company distributed throughout the Virginia and West Virginia coal fields which are the same area as Sun Rise did, and the same situation applies, no outlets for people to bring in bottles. The only real good outlet closed about two years ago in Bluefield, I got several interesting bottles from this source and miss it greatly. Yet again we have a company with several fairly tough bottles to find, namely the Pocahontas Beverages line which features a Native American on the bottle; however, this same bottle came in a 16oz size from 1965-1981, and these bottles are everywhere. I have picked up nine variations of this bottle for $1 each, and this source still has about thirty or forty of them sitting there.

So don't be fooled by the "only 4000 people live there so it must be rare" justification. The distribution areas for most of these small bottlers would surprise you, and not all of the bottles from that town are necessarily uber-rare.

A bottle, or anything really, is only worth as much as the buyer is willing to pay. The Seller can ask as much as he wants, but in the end it doesn't matter if you don't sell it. There are a lot of bottles sitting in antique shops right now that someone thinks is worth the price they have on them, but they still sit.

< Message edited by morbious_fod -- 9/12/2010 3:14:03 PM >


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NEW ARTICLES: Just say Mil-Kay the story of Mil-K-Botl

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 3:25:07 PM   
SODAPOPBOB

 

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               I promise, this will be my last comment at the moment ... (I think - I hope) 

             Hey Morb ~  In the middle of posting this I saw yours. I will read it now. Thanks.

Some of you may recall that about a month ago I mentioned in one of my threads I was considering the possible liquidation of my entire collection except for certain western themed acls like my Big Chief's and various others. Well, I have been working on that very thing now for awhile. And even though I thought I knew what I had and what they were worth, the more I look into it on e-bay and price guides, the more uncertain I have become. It's weird, because I want to associate a value of the Big Chief referred to here at about $75.00, but now I don't know for sure what to think. Not to mention the 100-plus other bottles I'm trying to price out. I think the main challenge here involves "region." A certain bottle in one part of the country is worth more than it would be in another region. So this brings me right back to where I started this in the first place. How in the heck do you determine a true value of any bottle? Maybe you can't, and I'm beating my head against the wall for nothing!

What do you think?

SPBOB    

< Message edited by SODAPOPBOB -- 9/12/2010 3:27:44 PM >

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 3:25:30 PM   
morbious_fod

 

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Speaking of perceived rarity, I own one of the rarest bottles that I have come across from the Sun Rise Bottling Company, and shock of shocks its a Canada Dry Ginger Ale from 1955. I have never laid eyes on another one, and I found mine in a bunch of them from Bristol, Tenn. and picked it up for twenty five cents. I've been looking for more ever since with no luck. Is there fifty crates just sitting somewhere? I dunno, but for know I own the only one that I know about, but there could always be more owned by those Tazewell collectors. That's why perceived rarity is so dangerous, you never know what has yet to surface. This is also why I never get into prices or even rarity of the bottles on my website. I learned that lesson a while back, I once thought the 7oz Blue Ridge Ginger Ale acl was very rare, and traded a good bottle for one that wasn't in great shape, only to have four of them show up at the Grey Tn. bottle show for five bucks each. Just because you haven't seen a ton of them doesn't mean its rare.

< Message edited by morbious_fod -- 9/12/2010 3:27:25 PM >


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NEW ARTICLES: Just say Mil-Kay the story of Mil-K-Botl

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 3:28:56 PM   
morbious_fod

 

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Simple answer is to price it for what you think its worth. If it doesn't sell then start lowering the price till it does.

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NEW ARTICLES: Just say Mil-Kay the story of Mil-K-Botl

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 3:55:31 PM   
SODAPOPBOB

 

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quote:

ORIGINAL: morbious_fod

Simple answer is to price it for what you think its worth. If it doesn't sell then start lowering the price till it does.


Morb ~

Thanks a million. I agree with you 100% ... especially the part quoted here. But there is no way I am going to piece-out 100+ bottles! (I just don't have the time or inclination). And the likelyhood of someone buying/trading all of them at one whack seems slim to nil as well. So I guess I may be stuck with them at present whether I like it or not. But we will see what develops. 

In the meantime, what is your opinion on price guides? Why all the fuss over these guides if all they have is a bunch of cool photos, but can't be relied on for values? Again, I know some of the guides are simply examples of what someone "thinks" a bottle is worth, while others are examples of bottles that sold at some point in time for a particular price. But, seriously, why even publish them? One says my Big Chief is rare, and another has it as dirt common. Personally, I think e-bay is a deterrent to true values ... at least from a buyer's viewpoint. But, then again, that's just my opinion.

Thanks again,

Bob   

< Message edited by SODAPOPBOB -- 9/12/2010 3:58:20 PM >

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 4:18:22 PM   
SODAPOPBOB

 

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Morb ~

I forgot to ask ... In your humble / personal / respected opinion, what do you think my Big Chief is worth?  And I mean a "general price range." I will not hold you to this, but I am truly curious what you (and others) may have to say about it. Let's see if we (the experts ?) can actually come up with the true value on one simple bottle. (We'll deal with the remaining 10,0000+ at a later date).  Lol 

All opinions and comments not only welcome, but encouraged.

Thanks,

SPBOB   

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 4:39:28 PM   
SODAPOPBOB

 

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I realize there is a lot to read here, and for that I apologize. And even though I look forward to any and all opinions regarding the title ... Values ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ?  I would like to shift the primary focus now to the Big Chief acl in question. And with this said, I place a true value on it of ...

                                                               $75.00

                                                         What say you?

                                                                  




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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 4:52:59 PM   
fishnuts


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Ebay currently is the best representation of bottle values.  Each completed transaction represents the 'market value' of that bottle at that time, because each complete transaction  has a satisfied buyer and satisfied seller...at that value.  Shows also represent the fair market value but in a different setting and with more bargaining. 
Shows tend to be one on one transactions with just one each of buyer and seller while auctions might have few  buyers, or many.  The number of  buyers can vastly alter the price. However, in order to get true values you'd have to track the numbers for years to get enough data to make sense of it, eh.
From my  nearly 40 years experience in the colletcibles marketplace I can add that most dealers price items based on what they paid modified by what the market will bear.  And if they're in the business to make money (and not for love) they will always take a reasonable mark up, sell the item and move on.
Here's what I said on another thread a couple days ago
Funny thing, eh?  What gets high value, and what don't
We like pictures over text. Go higher...
Good pictures.  even higher...
Size makes a difference?  higher...
Local favorite?   higher...
Hot topical exotic gorgeous...even higher...
Rarity?   Way higher...

Add vintage, like morb says...higher.
I am sure there are more variables than listed...and those intangibles that exist to make one pay way too much...sometimes.

Oh, and I recently(this summer) got an Ely BC: on Ebay and was the only bidder at $29.95 and I thought it was fair and reasonable at that price point.  I'd say bu**sh** @ $135.00, guide be danged.





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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 4:53:23 PM   
L C

 

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I do not see where eBay is such a great reference for pricing an item either for that matter . I used to sell quite a bit on eBay till they started the PalPal crap . Point is what an item brings on eBay depends on how many people know it is there for sale at a given time it is listed . I put a toy on there once, and it sold for twenty some dollars . The buyer failed to send payment for the item . I listed the same item again a couple of months later and it brought sixty some dollars , and the buyer was tickled to death for getting it at that price .

I never took much stock in price guide books either , A bottle that might be rare where the price guide book is published may be a commonly found bottle in other states .

For example , Kovels price guide listed a Cincinnati world champions Reds bottle from Cincinnati as being worth $50.00 The bottle may have brought 50 in the area they had researched due to availability . I am within forty miles of Cincinnati , and the most I could ever sell one of those bottles for was fifteen dollars .

I have bought bottles at times , and later thought why in the world did I give that much for that bottle , and other times I thought I may have got a pretty good deal on another . I go by my own judgment . I will pay what I feel is a reasonable price for a bottle . Later I may find out I over paid , and another time I will find I got a good deal . But I never feel bad about it either way because I paid the price I wanted to , not a price that a book quotes me . Maybe a person should take the price guide price as a reference only , and never use it as a guide for what a bottle is actually worth . I believe that is what those books are intended to be used for to begin with , a reference .

Then again , maybe a book on flasks or bitters is more accurate than some of the other price guides on the market . Can't really say about that being those particular bottles are mostly out of my league to begin with , so I have little experience in purchasing such bottles .

This is my opinion of the subject . but like bottles prices , I am sure there will be many people that will have a different opinion all together .

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 4:59:45 PM   
Oklabottles

 

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Ebay is about the only way to do the pricing because its the only way to market something to the masses but you cant get an exact value just a range or average because it depends if the people who would like that certian bottle actually seen it, whether a certian person had the money at the time of the auction or maybe they were broke and couldn't bid, and maybe there are only a few people that would really pay much money for a certain rare bottle, For example I had a art deco Dr. pepper bottling co. bottle I sold the bottle for $45 about 2 months before the an example of the same bottle sold for $95 the month before an example sold for $170 the first two sold higher because a couple people got in a bid battle over the 1st one the the second one was probably one buy the person who lost the bid battle on the first one and so on, now that the people who really wanted that bottle got 1 and it may never sell for that again, it all depends on local interest really, and you never know when intrest is going to go way up but thats why its better to collect rare and extremley rare bottles because when people do finally take a liking to a certian bottle and you one of the only few that has one you can make a killing off of it, its just all about timing,marketing,demand, and supply.

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 5:01:40 PM   
L C

 

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I also wanted to add pertaining to eBay , that I saw a mint bottle bring $229.00 on eBay . I listed that same bottle in mint condition as well , and it brought $85.00 . No that is a big difference in value .

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 5:07:06 PM   
SODAPOPBOB

 

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I know I'm getting a little carried away here, but all of the elderly residents I provide care for are napping, plus my San Diego Chargers don't play until tomorrow night, plus I'm bored, so hopefully no one will object if I indulge myself. 

And this is for all interested members who wish to participate.

Let's pretend for a moment that someone you knew was putting together a soda bottle price guide, and they offered you $5000.00 to assist them with it. (Okay, sounds good to me so far). But that this someone had hundreds of bottles already catagorized and photographed, but didn't know squat about pricing them. So they came to you. Of course you could explain how there were variables depending on condition, local, etc. etc. But let's say the person who came to you said they were aware of all of that, and that they just wanted you to give them "approximates" for bottles in "excellent condition." And remember, despite the variable, they are still prepared to pay you the $5000.00 for your help. And when you got to the Big Chief in question, what would you say?  Would you say that because it wasn't a bottle you collected that you wouldn't give $5.00 for it? Or would you say, I think it's worth approximately ...   Hmmm ... what would you say for $5000.00?

Thanks for allowing this indulgence. Hopefully it will amount to something more than just the whims of a bored individual. 

SPBOB 

Wow!  I just realized there were some replies while I was indulging myself. Thanks.    

< Message edited by SODAPOPBOB -- 9/12/2010 5:09:06 PM >

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 5:25:18 PM   
L C

 

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I would think that would have to do with whether or not a person had a conscience or had none at all . In good conscience , I would not even take the job . being I would have no idea what to price them at to begin with . I would sure hate to lose out on that five grand ! I really do not see how anyone could even be able to perform such a task . On the other hand , a person with no conscience would take the job and say what ever the person wanted to hear whether or not there was any accuracy to it or not , just for the sake of the five grand .. I do not think there would be a very good price guide provided using that senerio. Or maybe I am misunderstanding the question .

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 5:32:38 PM   
Oklabottles

 

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what I would say would depend on what I know if you go off the average price of most big chiefs you may say $15 dollars but the one you have instantly to me by the colors looks like a better one and I would research it and would average the prices it sold for as a fair buyers price, but the only way to find out what the value for that bottle right now is to try and sell it, it realy dont matter whats its worth unless your buying it or selling it and if your buying something look around a buy the cheapest one you can if your selling something make sure you list the item under the right keywords and tell people on here, a selling price really is never definite, I think price guides are better used for a fair buying price than a selling price. I think you could sell the big chief quickly for $60 dollars, but if the right people come alonmg and want it bad enough you could hit that $135 mark if you get multiple people wanting it bad enough.

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RE: VALUES ... guides vs e-bay vs dealers vs ? - 9/12/2010 5:38:39 PM   
morbious_fod

 

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So why publish price guides if there are so many variables to pricing based upon whim, location, and perception? Money really. They author and publish these books to both educate and inform and to make a buck. Some of the smaller authors do it for more altruistic reasons; however, most of the time they charge you upwards of $40 for a book. Who can blame them really, it cost money to publish; however, you don't write a price guide for purely altruistic reasons.

That being said I'll give an example of a price guide that got a price horribly wrong. Dick Bridgeforth's Mountain Dew: Hillbilly Bottles is a very good guide for what a each Mountain Dew Hillbilly bottle is worth, including variations etc; however, I won't completely rely upon his prices without question due to a glaring misjudgment I found in it. He has a section in this book for Mountain Dew related bottles, which includes the 6oz and 10oz Tip bottles. His prices for both the 6oz and 10oz Tip bottles are $175 per bottle for each size. He didn't include the 7oz so I can't speak to that. Ayer's Pepsi Cola price guide from 2001 puts them at $5 for the 6oz, $15 for the 10oz, and $10-$15 for the 7oz. That's a pretty large gap, and when Dick came up to take pictures of my Dr. Enuf bottles for his book I ask him about this, and he told me that the prices had come from ebay. Of course I told him that the real time prices for most of these in the wild usually ran $10 for the 6oz, $20 for the 10oz, and if you are lucky enough to find one the 7oz actually could cost you more as it seems to be the harder to find.

So you see that price guides are just as subject to perception and error as anything else; however, the real reason for the continued publishing of price guides is that it gives you an idea of what it actually out there, which is the reason that I purchase them myself. They are guides, that's all, you really can't rely on them for a go to source for up to date prices, because more than likely they are out dated two years prior to publishing. It takes time to write, take pictures, and publish a book. A website which constantly monitors ebay and other auctions would prove more valuable in that respect; however, as an earlier poster noted, ebay is never really completely reliable due to bidding wars, that one crazy person who will pay huge money to get a certain bottle, or a possible bidder who might have driven up the price not being able to bid.


_____________________________

My website chronicling the soda bottling companies of the Southwest Virginia or Northeast Tennessee area including Bluefield, Princeton, and Rock West Virginia www.tazewell-orange.com

NEW ARTICLES: Just say Mil-Kay the story of Mil-K-Botl

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